Philippines vs China analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
GUM
1 - 4
PHL
10%
16%
74%
|
51 | 25 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
PHL
2 - 5
SYR
14%
19%
68%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
CHN
2 - 0
PHL
83%
13%
4%
|
52 | 81 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
KGZ
3 - 1
PHL
44%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
PHL
0 - 3
CHN
15%
22%
64%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
CHN
7 - 0
GUM
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 25 | 57 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MDV
0 - 5
CHN
9%
17%
74%
|
81 | 39 | 42 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2019 |
CHN
1 - 0
TJK
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
CHN
2 - 0
PHL
83%
13%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
CHN
0 - 3
IRN
30%
27%
44%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |