Figueirense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
HER
1 - 1
FFL
24%
25%
52%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
FFL
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
FFL
3 - 2
MET
77%
15%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
CRI
1 - 0
FFL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
FFL
1 - 0
BRU
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
JUV
0 - 1
JEC
17%
22%
60%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
AVA
0 - 2
JEC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
JEC
0 - 0
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
MET
2 - 1
JEC
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 1
CRI
44%
24%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |