Fezzanese vs Ponsacco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 2
FEZ
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 0
JMO
29%
24%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MAS
3 - 2
FEZ
69%
18%
14%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 0
FCV
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FBC
3 - 2
FEZ
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ponsacco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MPO
1 - 2
USR
35%
23%
41%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
SES
0 - 2
MPO
28%
28%
45%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MPO
2 - 1
GRO
14%
22%
64%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +3 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
GHI
1 - 2
MPO
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MPO
0 - 0
ARG
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |