Ferroviário vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 3
HOR
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
FER
1 - 2
ICA
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
FER
3 - 1
TIR
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
FER
0 - 4
FOR
26%
24%
49%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
FER
7 - 2
CRA
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
HOR
18%
22%
59%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CRA
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 0
ITA
55%
24%
22%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
TIR
24%
25%
52%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +1 |