Ferroviário vs Itapipoca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ICA
1 - 1
FER
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
TIR
2 - 0
FER
54%
22%
23%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 1
FER
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
QUI
53%
23%
25%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
CRA
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Itapipoca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 0
LIM
60%
21%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
5 - 2
GUA
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
ITA
40%
24%
36%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 4
FOR
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
2 - 1
ICA
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | +2 |