Ferroviário vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 3
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
FER
2 - 1
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FLO
0 - 2
FER
37%
24%
38%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
4 - 1
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 4
FOR
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 2
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 3
TIR
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FLO
2 - 1
GUA
59%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAR
41%
26%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |