Ferroviário vs Caucaia EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
8.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
PAC
0 - 1
FER
16%
21%
63%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
FER
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FER
2 - 4
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 3
UNI
19%
21%
61%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PAC
2 - 3
CAU
55%
21%
24%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CEA
1 - 0
CAU
87%
11%
3%
|
30 | 73 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 1
GUA
18%
21%
61%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAU
60%
21%
20%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | 0 |