Ferroviário Beira vs Desportivo de Nacala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
22.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviário Beira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
COS
0 - 0
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
FER
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ZES
1 - 0
FER
12%
22%
66%
|
65 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FER
0 - 0
ZES
78%
17%
6%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
FER
2 - 0
AZA
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
DES
1 - 2
QUE
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HCB
1 - 0
DES
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
DES
0 - 0
HCB
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MAT
2 - 1
DES
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
DES
1 - 1
COS
47%
29%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |