Ferroviária vs São Bento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
0 - 0
FER
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FER
3 - 1
ITU
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
FER
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FER
1 - 0
COR
21%
26%
53%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NOV
2 - 0
FER
29%
23%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
São Bento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
MIR
0 - 1
SAO
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 2
PPE
9%
18%
73%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 2
SAN
9%
21%
71%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 1
SAO
51%
25%
25%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 1
LIN
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |