Ferroviária vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
22%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
FER
2 - 0
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
AME
2 - 0
FER
27%
24%
49%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
INT
1 - 1
FER
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
FER
1 - 1
ATL
52%
22%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
FER
2 - 2
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
1 - 0
ATL
41%
23%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
BAN
1 - 2
MOG
31%
24%
45%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
CAT
2 - 5
MOG
37%
24%
39%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 1
ECN
45%
24%
31%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2008 |
MOG
2 - 1
INT
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |