Ferro General Pico vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
12.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro General Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
CIP
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CIP
1 - 1
FER
52%
25%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
CIP
0 - 0
FER
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
MAI
0 - 1
FER
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FER
1 - 3
VIL
35%
28%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
2 - 2
CIP
26%
27%
46%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
MAI
1 - 0
SPE
72%
19%
9%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 0
SPE
69%
21%
10%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 0
DCM
47%
27%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CDC
2 - 1
SPE
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |