Ferro Carril Oeste vs Club Atlético Güemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
25.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
ALB
3 - 1
FER
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
GIM
38%
29%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
STM
2 - 0
FER
22%
26%
52%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2022 |
FER
0 - 0
CFE
49%
28%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
SMA
1 - 0
FER
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
CAG
0 - 0
IRV
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
QUI
0 - 2
CAG
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CAG
2 - 1
MAI
42%
30%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 2
CAG
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
CAG
1 - 2
ALM
37%
30%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |