Copa Libertadores round 4

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Argentinos Juniors analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste Argentinos Juniors
81 ELO 83
-27.3% Tilt -25.6%
704º General ELO ranking 149º
38º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
39.5%
Ferro Carril Oeste
29.1%
Draw
31.4%
Argentinos Juniors

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
Ferro Carril Oeste
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
31.4%
Win probability
Argentinos Juniors
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ferro Carril Oeste
-5%
-6%
Argentinos Juniors

ELO progression

Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinos Juniors
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ferro Carril Oeste
Ferro Carril Oeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 1985
ESP
Dep. Español
2 - 0
Ferro Carril Oeste
FER
32%
27%
41%
82 66 16 0
06 Aug. 1985
FER
Ferro Carril Oeste
2 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
40%
30%
30%
82 84 2 0
04 Aug. 1985
FER
Ferro Carril Oeste
1 - 0
Gimnasia La Plata
GLP
59%
22%
19%
82 72 10 0
28 Jul. 1985
VEL
Vélez Sarsfield
0 - 4
Ferro Carril Oeste
FER
55%
25%
19%
81 79 2 +1
25 Jul. 1985
ARG
Argentinos Juniors
0 - 1
Ferro Carril Oeste
FER
67%
21%
12%
81 83 2 0

Matches

Argentinos Juniors
Argentinos Juniors
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Aug. 1985
IND
Independiente
1 - 2
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
42%
26%
33%
83 78 5 0
09 Aug. 1985
ARG
Argentinos Juniors
2 - 2
Vasco da Gama
VAS
58%
23%
19%
83 83 0 0
05 Aug. 1985
FLU
Fluminense
0 - 1
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
58%
23%
19%
83 85 2 0
02 Aug. 1985
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 2
Argentinos Juniors
ARG
59%
23%
19%
82 84 2 +1
28 Jul. 1985
ARG
Argentinos Juniors
1 - 0
San Lorenzo
SLO
68%
19%
13%
82 76 6 0