Ferreira de Aves vs Fornos de Algodres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferreira de Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
OLE
2 - 1
FAV
78%
14%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
UDL
4 - 1
FAV
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAV
2 - 1
ADN
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 2
FAV
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAV
1 - 3
LUS
12%
19%
70%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 5
ADN
9%
15%
76%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ADM
0 - 0
FAL
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
0 - 2
LUS
9%
17%
73%
|
13 | 42 | 29 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
FAL
87%
10%
3%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
MOR
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |