Fernwald vs Klein-Karben analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernwald
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
SGB
2 - 1
FER
41%
25%
34%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
GOR
1 - 4
FER
31%
25%
44%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
FER
1 - 0
BUC
27%
26%
48%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
WAT
0 - 1
FER
16%
22%
63%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
FER
3 - 2
FRA
32%
23%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Klein-Karben
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
KKA
1 - 3
BUC
40%
28%
32%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2006 |
KKA
0 - 2
WAL
39%
26%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
VIK
1 - 0
KKA
44%
24%
32%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
KKA
2 - 2
SGB
63%
21%
16%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
GOR
2 - 2
KKA
19%
21%
59%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |