Oberliga Hessen round 32

Fernwald vs Dietkirchen analysis

Fernwald Dietkirchen
33 ELO 19
11.7% Tilt 1.8%
7427º General ELO ranking 11238º
279º Country ELO ranking 551º
ELO win probability
80.4%
Fernwald
12.3%
Draw
7.3%
Dietkirchen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
Fernwald
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.3%
Win probability
Dietkirchen
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fernwald
+26%
+25%
Dietkirchen

Points and table prediction

Fernwald
Their league position
Dietkirchen
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
19º
41
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Frankfurt II
89
89
100%
FC Giessen
82
82
100%
Türkgücü Friedberg
70
70
100%
Fernwald
69
69
100%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
65
65
100%
KSV Baunatal
62
62
100%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
60
60
100%
FC Hanau 93
55
58
100%
SV Steinbach 1920
52
52
100%
FC Erlensee
10º
49
49
10º
70%
Eddersheim
11º
47
47
11º
52%
Bayern Alzenau
12º
47
47
12º
52%
Waldgirmes
13º
46
46
13º
52%
Adler Weidenhausen
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Viktoria Griesheim
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Dietkirchen
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Unter-Flockenbach
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Neuhof
19º
37
37
18º
0%
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
18º
37
37
19º
0%
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Fernwald
Dietkirchen
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Fernwald
Dietkirchen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Apr. 2023
NEU
Neuhof
1 - 3
Fernwald
FER
14%
18%
69%
30 18 12 0
06 Apr. 2023
STE
SV Steinbach 1920
1 - 3
Fernwald
FER
27%
22%
51%
28 21 7 +2
01 Apr. 2023
FER
Fernwald
2 - 1
Viktoria Griesheim
VIK
69%
17%
15%
28 21 7 0
25 Mar. 2023
FER
Fernwald
6 - 1
Waldgirmes
WAL
65%
18%
17%
28 22 6 0
18 Mar. 2023
FCE
FC Erlensee
4 - 1
Fernwald
FER
23%
20%
57%
32 22 10 -4

Matches

Dietkirchen
Dietkirchen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Apr. 2023
DIE
Dietkirchen
1 - 1
Waldgirmes
WAL
35%
21%
45%
18 20 2 0
06 Apr. 2023
BAU
KSV Baunatal
2 - 0
Dietkirchen
DIE
59%
20%
21%
18 22 4 0
01 Apr. 2023
FCE
FC Erlensee
1 - 1
Dietkirchen
DIE
71%
16%
14%
18 24 6 0
29 Mar. 2023
STE
SV Steinbach 1920
0 - 0
Dietkirchen
DIE
58%
19%
23%
18 21 3 0
25 Mar. 2023
DIE
Dietkirchen
1 - 0
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
EIN
22%
20%
58%
17 26 9 +1