Fernández Vial vs Deportes Vallenar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
DER
0 - 0
FVC
38%
26%
37%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
FVC
2 - 2
CAU
55%
23%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
GVE
2 - 0
FVC
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
FVC
6 - 2
SAU
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
FVC
1 - 1
DSC
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Vallenar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 2
DSC
40%
26%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
GVE
0 - 0
VAL
51%
26%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
0 - 3
MAL
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
CAU
5 - 2
VAL
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 0
DER
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |