Fernández Vial vs Unión Santa María analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
25.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
PUB
1 - 1
FVC
34%
25%
42%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
PIN
2 - 0
FVC
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
FVC
3 - 2
CHG
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
DEP
1 - 1
FVC
48%
26%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PIN
1 - 1
FVC
37%
25%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Santa María
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
USM
2 - 0
PIN
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHG
4 - 0
USM
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
USM
2 - 2
DEP
45%
25%
30%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
IBE
2 - 2
USM
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |