Fermana vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
68.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
FER
2 - 5
SAL
7%
21%
72%
|
44 | 78 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
COM
3 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 1
COM
66%
21%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAP
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
NAP
2 - 1
USC
76%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
VER
1 - 0
NAP
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
NAP
1 - 2
ASS
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |