Fermana vs Cosenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
GEN
1 - 1
FER
86%
10%
4%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FER
0 - 1
ASS
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
SAL
3 - 1
FER
82%
13%
5%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
FER
0 - 1
ALZ
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Cosenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
COS
0 - 0
SAL
27%
27%
47%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
COS
1 - 0
NAP
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
TRE
2 - 1
COS
70%
19%
12%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
COS
1 - 1
TER
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ALZ
0 - 0
COS
32%
26%
41%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |