Inter-Cities Fairs Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Ferencvárosi vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
ATH
2 - 1
FTC
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
FTC
1 - 0
ATH
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1965 |
FTC
1 - 0
ROM
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
ROM
1 - 2
FTC
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1964 |
FTC
2 - 0
WIE
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1965 |
REC
1 - 0
ATH
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1965 |
ATH
2 - 1
FTC
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1965 |
ATH
1 - 0
CCF
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1965 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
86%
10%
5%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
FTC
1 - 0
ATH
50%
24%
26%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |