Fénix vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fénix
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
CCP
2 - 0
FEN
58%
23%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
CCP
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
FEN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
ETS
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
CER
1 - 2
RAC
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SUD
2 - 2
CER
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CER
2 - 1
FEN
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DEF
1 - 0
CER
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CER
2 - 0
ETS
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |