Fenerbahçe vs Mersin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
GAL
0 - 0
FEN
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KON
2 - 1
FEN
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FEN
0 - 0
ANK
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
SPB
4 - 1
FEN
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FEN
1 - 0
KAY
75%
17%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mersin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MER
1 - 3
GEN
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
IST
3 - 0
MER
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MER
0 - 0
GAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
TRA
1 - 0
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
MER
1 - 0
SIV
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |