Qualif. Champions Tercera Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Fenerbahçe vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 0
ADA
53%
22%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
FEN
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
2 - 1
LUG
55%
21%
24%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
LUG
3 - 4
FEN
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
FEN
5 - 1
HUL
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 1
FEN
59%
22%
19%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
LIL
3 - 1
CEL
58%
22%
20%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
WOL
1 - 0
LIL
37%
27%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GNK
2 - 2
LIL
40%
26%
34%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
GEN
0 - 1
LIL
41%
26%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |