Eredivisie round 23

PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen analysis

PEC Zwolle NEC Nijmegen
70 ELO 66
-2.9% Tilt -6%
557º General ELO ranking 282º
13º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.3%
PEC Zwolle
23.6%
Draw
20%
NEC Nijmegen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
PEC Zwolle
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20%
Win probability
NEC Nijmegen
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PEC Zwolle
-7%
-2%
NEC Nijmegen

ELO progression

PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PEC Zwolle
PEC Zwolle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Mar. 1979
MVV
MVV Maastricht
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
54%
25%
21%
70 69 1 0
17 Mar. 1979
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
1 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
45%
26%
29%
69 74 5 +1
10 Mar. 1979
ZWO
PEC Zwolle
3 - 3
Twente
TWE
24%
25%
51%
69 88 19 0
03 Mar. 1979
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
56%
24%
20%
69 68 1 0
17 Dec. 1978
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 0
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
68%
20%
12%
69 80 11 0

Matches

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 1979
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
0 - 0
NAC Breda
NAC
47%
27%
26%
67 68 1 0
21 Mar. 1979
NEC
NEC Nijmegen
2 - 2
Feyenoord
FEY
16%
25%
60%
66 88 22 +1
18 Mar. 1979
TWE
Twente
2 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
77%
16%
8%
66 88 22 0
04 Mar. 1979
RJC
Roda JC
3 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
66%
21%
13%
67 80 13 -1
17 Dec. 1978
VVV
VVV Venlo
1 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
53%
24%
23%
67 66 1 0