FC Volendam vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
20º
1º
29
12º
19º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 65 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 64 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 64 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 60 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 59 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 57 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 51 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 50 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
29 | 48 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 48 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 48 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 43 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 43 |
16º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 41 |
17º
|
31.5% | |
|
18º
|
21 | 36 |
18º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 35 |
19º
|
39.5% | |
|
19º
|
14 | 22 |
20º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
79% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
21% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Volendam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
VOL
4 - 0
VIT
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
EIN
1 - 3
VOL
24%
25%
51%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 1
GRA
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
RIJ
2 - 0
VOL
26%
21%
53%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
EXC
0 - 0
VOL
50%
23%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
MVV
5 - 0
BOS
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
FCO
1 - 0
MVV
23%
23%
54%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MVV
5 - 1
TEL
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
MVV
1 - 2
FEY
13%
18%
69%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ADO
2 - 0
MVV
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |