Utrecht vs RKC Waalwijk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
UTR
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UTR
4 - 3
AJA
22%
23%
56%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
UTR
22%
23%
56%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
UTR
0 - 2
ALM
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NEC
3 - 0
UTR
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
RKC Waalwijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 0
RKC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RKC
2 - 1
VOL
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ALM
1 - 0
RKC
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RKC
1 - 0
TWE
17%
22%
62%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
VIT
0 - 2
RKC
56%
24%
21%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |