Utrecht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
PSV
2 - 3
UTR
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
UTR
2 - 1
EIN
41%
25%
34%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
UTR
3 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
WAG
1 - 1
UTR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
UTR
2 - 0
ARG
57%
21%
23%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
EXC
0 - 2
WIL
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
FEY
2 - 0
EXC
82%
12%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1980 |
EXC
1 - 1
TWE
21%
26%
54%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
MVV
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
EXC
2 - 4
AJA
19%
24%
58%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |