FC Ulaanbaatar vs FC Deren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Ulaanbaatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
KHA
2 - 5
ULA
16%
18%
66%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
ULA
10 - 0
KHO
87%
9%
4%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
TBF
1 - 7
ULA
39%
21%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ULA
4 - 2
DER
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPF
1 - 1
ULA
46%
21%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Deren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
ERC
0 - 5
DER
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
DER
3 - 1
KHA
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
KHO
1 - 2
DER
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
DER
3 - 0
ULC
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ULA
4 - 2
DER
61%
20%
20%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |