Eredivisie European competition play-offs Final

Global 2-1

Twente vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis

Twente Sparta Rotterdam
84 ELO 77
-2% Tilt 1.1%
88º General ELO ranking 324º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.1%
Twente
21.9%
Draw
19%
Sparta Rotterdam

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
Twente
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
Sparta Rotterdam
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Twente
-2%
-7%
Sparta Rotterdam

ELO progression

Twente
Sparta Rotterdam
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Twente
Twente
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2023
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
29%
25%
46%
84 77 7 0
04 Jun. 2023
TWE
Twente
4 - 0
Heerenveen
SCH
61%
21%
18%
84 74 10 0
01 Jun. 2023
SCH
Heerenveen
1 - 2
Twente
TWE
26%
25%
49%
83 75 8 +1
28 May. 2023
TWE
Twente
3 - 1
Ajax
AJA
25%
23%
53%
83 88 5 0
21 May. 2023
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
0 - 5
Twente
TWE
25%
25%
50%
82 71 11 +1

Matches

Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jun. 2023
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
Twente
TWE
29%
25%
46%
77 84 7 0
04 Jun. 2023
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
0 - 1
Utrecht
UTR
35%
24%
41%
78 80 2 -1
01 Jun. 2023
UTR
Utrecht
1 - 2
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
50%
24%
26%
77 80 3 +1
28 May. 2023
GRO
Groningen
0 - 5
Sparta Rotterdam
SPA
19%
27%
54%
77 64 13 0
21 May. 2023
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
4 - 1
Cambuur
BVO
65%
21%
14%
76 63 13 +1