Twente vs AZ Alkmaar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
JON
2 - 1
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
PSV
1 - 0
TWE
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
TWE
1 - 1
FOR
65%
21%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
AJA
3 - 2
TWE
70%
17%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
TWE
0 - 0
SCH
39%
26%
34%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2001 |
AZA
1 - 2
RJC
35%
26%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 0
AZA
74%
16%
11%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2001 |
GRO
0 - 1
AZA
49%
23%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
AZA
3 - 2
BOS
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
AZA
0 - 1
RKC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |