Umaglesi Liga round 1

Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samtredia analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi Samtredia
74 ELO 58
10.3% Tilt -8.3%
685º General ELO ranking 2328º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
72.1%
Torpedo Kutaisi
17.8%
Draw
10.1%
Samtredia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
Torpedo Kutaisi
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
10.1%
Win probability
Samtredia
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Torpedo Kutaisi
Their league position
Samtredia
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
27
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC Iberia 1999
75
75
100%
Torpedo Kutaisi
70
70
100%
Dila Gori
68
68
100%
Dinamo Batumi
55
55
100%
Samgurali
44
44
100%
Kolkheti Poti
41
41
100%
Dinamo Tbilisi
39
39
100%
Gagra
38
38
100%
FC Telavi
34
34
100%
Samtredia
10º
27
27
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samtredia
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Torpedo Kutaisi
Samtredia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Torpedo Kutaisi
Torpedo Kutaisi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2024
VIL
Villarreal B
1 - 4
Torpedo Kutaisi
FTK
42%
24%
34%
74 68 6 0
17 Feb. 2024
LEV
Levadia
1 - 3
Torpedo Kutaisi
FTK
57%
23%
20%
74 77 3 0
15 Feb. 2024
FTK
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 - 0
Hércules
HER
82%
13%
6%
74 53 21 0
13 Feb. 2024
STB
Stabæk
2 - 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
FTK
28%
26%
46%
74 65 9 0
07 Feb. 2024
FTK
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 - 1
Merani Martvili
MER
87%
10%
3%
74 41 33 0

Matches

Samtredia
Samtredia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
SAM
Samtredia
1 - 2
Locomotive Tbilisi
LOK
59%
20%
21%
59 53 6 0
14 Feb. 2024
SAM
Samtredia
2 - 2
Aragvi Dusheti
ADU
64%
19%
16%
59 53 6 0
10 Dec. 2023
GAR
Gareji
3 - 1
Samtredia
SAM
45%
23%
32%
60 60 0 -1
06 Dec. 2023
SAM
Samtredia
4 - 1
Gareji
GAR
36%
23%
41%
58 62 4 +2
02 Dec. 2023
SAM
Samtredia
2 - 3
Samgurali
SAM
28%
26%
46%
59 68 9 -1