Torpedo Kutaisi vs Samtredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
7º
2º
27
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 74 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 71 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 66 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 56 |
4º
|
99.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
81% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 43 |
6º
|
74.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 35 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 34 |
9º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
78% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
27% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
73% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 78% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torpedo Kutaisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 4
FTK
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 3
FTK
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
FTK
1 - 0
HER
82%
13%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
STB
2 - 1
FTK
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FTK
3 - 1
MER
87%
10%
3%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Samtredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
LOK
59%
20%
21%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 2
ADU
64%
19%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
GAR
3 - 1
SAM
45%
23%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
GAR
36%
23%
41%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 3
SAM
28%
26%
46%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |