J1 League round 3

FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka analysis

FC Tokyo Cerezo Osaka
78 ELO 70
3.8% Tilt 1.8%
381º General ELO ranking 343º
11º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
57.7%
FC Tokyo
22.1%
Draw
20.2%
Cerezo Osaka

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
FC Tokyo
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
20.2%
Win probability
Cerezo Osaka
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Tokyo
-6%
-12%
Cerezo Osaka

ELO progression

FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2010
URA
Urawa Reds
1 - 0
FC Tokyo
FCT
41%
26%
33%
78 75 3 0
06 Mar. 2010
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Yokohama F. Marinos
FCY
53%
25%
23%
78 78 0 0
05 Dec. 2009
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
41%
26%
33%
78 75 3 0
28 Nov. 2009
FCT
FC Tokyo
1 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
58%
23%
19%
78 72 6 0
22 Nov. 2009
JEF
JEF United
2 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
32%
27%
42%
78 67 11 0

Matches

Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2010
CER
Cerezo Osaka
1 - 1
Gamba Osaka
GAM
27%
24%
49%
70 82 12 0
07 Mar. 2010
OMI
Omiya Ardija
3 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
37%
27%
36%
70 70 0 0
05 Dec. 2009
SAG
Sagan Tosu
2 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
34%
26%
40%
71 67 4 -1
28 Nov. 2009
CER
Cerezo Osaka
2 - 1
Gifu
GIF
73%
17%
10%
71 59 12 0
22 Nov. 2009
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
1 - 0
Cerezo Osaka
CER
45%
26%
29%
71 75 4 0