J1 League round 1

FC Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata analysis

FC Tokyo Albirex Niigata
72 ELO 75
2.6% Tilt 0.1%
380º General ELO ranking 529º
11º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
36.4%
FC Tokyo
25.7%
Draw
38%
Albirex Niigata

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
FC Tokyo
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.9%
Win probability
Albirex Niigata
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Tokyo
-6%
+1%
Albirex Niigata

ELO progression

FC Tokyo
Albirex Niigata
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Dec. 2004
URA
Urawa Reds
2 - 1
FC Tokyo
FCT
59%
21%
19%
70 74 4 0
12 Dec. 2004
OMI
Omiya Ardija
3 - 6
FC Tokyo
FCT
82%
13%
6%
68 85 17 +2
28 Nov. 2004
GAM
Gamba Osaka
1 - 2
FC Tokyo
FCT
63%
20%
17%
67 69 2 +1
23 Nov. 2004
FCT
FC Tokyo
3 - 3
JEF United
JEF
44%
25%
31%
67 69 2 0
20 Nov. 2004
ALB
Albirex Niigata
4 - 2
FC Tokyo
FCT
64%
21%
15%
68 75 7 -1

Matches

Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Nov. 2004
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 2
Cerezo Osaka
CER
79%
15%
7%
76 56 20 0
23 Nov. 2004
FCY
Yokohama F. Marinos
1 - 2
Albirex Niigata
ALB
42%
26%
32%
75 75 0 +1
20 Nov. 2004
ALB
Albirex Niigata
4 - 2
FC Tokyo
FCT
64%
21%
15%
75 68 7 0
13 Nov. 2004
ALB
Albirex Niigata
2 - 3
Shonan Bellmare
SHO
76%
16%
8%
76 62 14 -1
10 Nov. 2004
ALB
Albirex Niigata
1 - 3
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
82%
14%
5%
77 56 21 -1