Switzerland League U18 round 4

FC Thun U18 vs Aarau U18 analysis

FC Thun U18 Aarau U18
14 ELO 15
-6.4% Tilt -8.9%
42138º General ELO ranking 42147º
442º Country ELO ranking 451º
ELO win probability
52.6%
FC Thun U18
21.3%
Draw
26.1%
Aarau U18

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
FC Thun U18
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.1%
Win probability
Aarau U18
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Thun U18
+20%
-7%
Aarau U18

ELO progression

FC Thun U18
Aarau U18
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Thun U18
FC Thun U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2018
STG
FC St. Gallen U18
1 - 2
FC Thun U18
FCT
87%
9%
5%
14 20 6 0
25 Aug. 2018
TWC
Winterthur U18
4 - 0
FC Thun U18
FCT
58%
19%
23%
15 15 0 -1
18 Aug. 2018
FCT
FC Thun U18
1 - 2
BSC Young Boys U18
BYB
5%
10%
85%
15 33 18 0
25 Nov. 2017
FCT
FC Thun U18
0 - 2
FC Basel U18
FCB
6%
11%
83%
15 33 18 0
18 Nov. 2017
TTI
Team Ticino U18
4 - 0
FC Thun U18
FCT
54%
21%
24%
16 17 1 -1

Matches

Aarau U18
Aarau U18
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2018
TAA
Aarau U18
1 - 2
Winterthur U18
TWC
42%
23%
35%
14 16 2 0
25 Aug. 2018
BYB
BSC Young Boys U18
0 - 1
Aarau U18
TAA
92%
6%
2%
13 34 21 +1
18 Aug. 2018
TAA
Aarau U18
0 - 8
FC Basel U18
FCB
7%
13%
79%
14 33 19 -1
26 May. 2018
SFC
Servette FC U18
3 - 0
Aarau U18
TAA
82%
12%
6%
14 25 11 0
12 May. 2018
GCZ
Grasshopper Zürich U18
3 - 0
Aarau U18
TAA
89%
8%
3%
15 32 17 -1