Therwil vs Franches Montagnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Therwil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LIE
2 - 2
FCT
73%
17%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
0 - 3
ALL
35%
23%
42%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LAU
3 - 2
FCT
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FCT
1 - 0
NEX
16%
20%
64%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 2
FCT
70%
18%
13%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Franches Montagnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ALL
5 - 1
FCF
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
FCF
0 - 3
NEX
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
FCO
1 - 3
FCF
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FCF
3 - 3
FCE
11%
19%
70%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LYS
6 - 1
FCF
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |