1. Liga Classic round 6

FC Thalwil vs Winterthur II analysis

FC Thalwil Winterthur II
36 ELO 38
5.2% Tilt -12.5%
9229º General ELO ranking 5785º
118º Country ELO ranking 60º
ELO win probability
45.7%
FC Thalwil
24.1%
Draw
30.3%
Winterthur II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
FC Thalwil
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.3%
Win probability
Winterthur II
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Thalwil
-4%
-1%
Winterthur II

ELO progression

FC Thalwil
Winterthur II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Thalwil
FC Thalwil
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2017
MEN
Mendrisio-Stabio
1 - 1
FC Thalwil
FCT
43%
27%
30%
37 38 1 0
26 Aug. 2017
FCT
FC Thalwil
1 - 1
Kosova
KOS
37%
24%
39%
37 39 2 0
19 Aug. 2017
FCG
FC Gossau
1 - 2
FC Thalwil
FCT
63%
20%
17%
36 38 2 +1
12 Aug. 2017
FCT
FC Thalwil
2 - 0
FC Balzers
FCB
65%
19%
16%
36 28 8 0
05 Aug. 2017
FCW
FC Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 - 2
FC Thalwil
FCT
66%
20%
14%
35 43 8 +1

Matches

Winterthur II
Winterthur II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2017
WIN
Winterthur II
2 - 4
AC Bellinzona
BEL
19%
21%
61%
37 49 12 0
27 Aug. 2017
STG
St. Gallen II
3 - 3
Winterthur II
WIN
56%
22%
22%
37 41 4 0
19 Aug. 2017
WIN
Winterthur II
1 - 5
Seuzach
SEU
69%
17%
14%
39 30 9 -2
12 Aug. 2017
ESC
Eschen/Mauren
1 - 3
Winterthur II
WIN
49%
23%
28%
37 38 1 +2
05 Aug. 2017
WIN
Winterthur II
3 - 3
Red Star Zürich
RSZ
52%
23%
25%
38 36 2 -1