Tamper vs Tartu Welco II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
75.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.9%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.6%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FCT
4 - 1
JKP
28%
19%
53%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
TAL
3 - 1
FCT
43%
21%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
JKJ
0 - 9
FCT
47%
20%
33%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCA
5 - 1
FCT
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Tartu Welco II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2024 |
FCM
4 - 0
TJK
18%
17%
66%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
TJK
3 - 2
TKL
69%
16%
15%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
TIN
3 - 1
TJK
80%
13%
8%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
TJK
6 - 1
MTU
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TJK
0 - 4
MAA
5%
12%
84%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | -1 |