FC Tallinn vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
15.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
6º
6º
17
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
60 | 73 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 72 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 71 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 60 |
4º
|
94% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 53 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 50 |
6º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 43 |
7º
|
74% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 39 |
8º
|
82% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 22 |
9º
|
93% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 16 |
10º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Tallinn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
TAB
1 - 2
FCT
37%
23%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 2
TKA
59%
21%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FCE
2 - 3
FCT
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
3 - 4
LEV
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
FCT
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
PAI
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
PAI
3 - 0
TAB
34%
22%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 8
HJP
26%
24%
51%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VJK
5 - 0
PAI
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PAI
0 - 1
FCT
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |