Spiez vs Bavois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
55%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spiez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
THI
2 - 5
FCS
50%
23%
28%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 3
GUM
66%
19%
16%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
FCS
4 - 0
DUR
37%
23%
40%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 2
FCS
34%
24%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
FCS
0 - 2
TPA
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bavois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BAV
6 - 0
ROM
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
BAV
3 - 0
BAU
77%
14%
8%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
USC
1 - 3
BAV
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BAV
5 - 2
BEX
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PER
2 - 3
BAV
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |