Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-19
FC Reipas Lahti vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
60%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Reipas Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1976 |
LSO
12 - 2
FCR
90%
7%
3%
|
52 | 77 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
WHU
3 - 0
FCR
90%
8%
3%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
FCR
2 - 2
WHU
9%
17%
74%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1974 |
FCR
0 - 0
MFF
23%
21%
56%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
MFF
3 - 1
FCR
84%
10%
5%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
LSO
3 - 2
CSK
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1976 |
LSO
12 - 2
FCR
90%
7%
3%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
SVA
1 - 4
LSO
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1976 |
LSO
3 - 3
SSO
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
SLI
2 - 0
LSO
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |