Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
FCP
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
NAC
0 - 2
FCP
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
FCP
1 - 0
MOR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
PSG
2 - 1
FCP
43%
23%
34%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
ACA
4 - 2
VST
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
VST
3 - 1
NAC
37%
25%
39%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
VST
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2012 |
EST
3 - 0
VST
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VST
3 - 5
RIO
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |