Primeira Liga round 13

Porto vs Vitória Setúbal analysis

Porto Vitória Setúbal
82 ELO 87
-5.9% Tilt -4.9%
69º General ELO ranking 4218º
Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
38.5%
Porto
28.4%
Draw
33.1%
Vitória Setúbal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
Porto
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
33.1%
Win probability
Vitória Setúbal
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Porto
+9%
-3%
Vitória Setúbal

ELO progression

Porto
Vitória Setúbal
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Dec. 1973
FCB
FC Barreirense
1 - 2
Porto
FCP
33%
28%
40%
82 62 20 0
02 Dec. 1973
FCP
Porto
2 - 0
Olhanense
OLH
74%
17%
9%
82 56 26 0
25 Nov. 1973
ACA
Académica
1 - 1
Porto
FCP
34%
28%
38%
82 68 14 0
18 Nov. 1973
FCP
Porto
1 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
32%
27%
41%
82 88 6 0
04 Nov. 1973
SLB
Benfica
2 - 1
Porto
FCP
77%
15%
9%
82 88 6 0

Matches

Vitória Setúbal
Vitória Setúbal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Dec. 1973
VST
Vitória Setúbal
3 - 1
Leeds United
LEE
41%
26%
33%
87 92 5 0
09 Dec. 1973
VST
Vitória Setúbal
6 - 2
Montijo CD
CDM
87%
9%
4%
86 66 20 +1
02 Dec. 1973
FAB
Fabril Barreiro
2 - 1
Vitória Setúbal
VST
32%
29%
40%
87 74 13 -1
28 Nov. 1973
LEE
Leeds United
1 - 0
Vitória Setúbal
VST
76%
16%
8%
87 92 5 0
25 Nov. 1973
VST
Vitória Setúbal
1 - 0
Farense
FAR
82%
13%
5%
87 66 21 0