Porto vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
BOA
0 - 1
FCP
23%
28%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
BEL
0 - 0
FCP
26%
27%
47%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1988 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPB
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOA
40%
30%
30%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
VIT
3 - 0
VAR
77%
15%
8%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1988 |
BEL
2 - 2
VAR
70%
19%
11%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1988 |
VAR
0 - 0
SLB
16%
26%
58%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |