Porto vs FC Barreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.9%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.4%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
FCP
54%
20%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
59%
18%
23%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
FCP
7 - 2
APO
90%
7%
4%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
56%
20%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Barreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
3 - 1
CAS
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1939 |
FCB
0 - 2
BEL
29%
21%
51%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 2
CAR
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 0
FCB
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
FCB
2 - 1
BEL
26%
20%
54%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |