Porto vs CF Estrela Amadora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
FAR
3 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
FCP
4 - 1
VST
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
BYM
2 - 1
FCP
67%
20%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 2
FCP
17%
22%
62%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
FCP
3 - 0
RIO
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CF Estrela Amadora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2000 |
EST
3 - 3
SPB
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ALV
0 - 1
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2000 |
EST
1 - 2
BOA
30%
28%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
GFC
2 - 2
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
EST
1 - 0
RIO
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |