Super Cup Final

Porto vs Boavista analysis

Porto Boavista
86 ELO 75
17.6% Tilt 3.1%
76º General ELO ranking 869º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
85.2%
Porto
9.3%
Draw
5.5%
Boavista

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
Porto
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.5%
Win probability
Boavista
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Porto
+10%
-11%
Boavista

ELO progression

Porto
Boavista
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jun. 1979
FCP
Porto
4 - 1
FC Barreirense
FCB
88%
9%
4%
87 58 29 0
10 Jun. 1979
ACV
Academico Viseu
0 - 5
Porto
FCP
8%
17%
76%
87 50 37 0
03 Jun. 1979
FCP
Porto
6 - 1
Beira Mar SC
BMA
86%
10%
5%
87 61 26 0
27 May. 1979
FAM
Famalicão
0 - 4
Porto
FCP
12%
19%
70%
87 61 26 0
13 May. 1979
FCP
Porto
2 - 0
Estoril
EST
85%
10%
5%
86 65 21 +1

Matches

Boavista
Boavista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 1979
BOA
Boavista
1 - 0
Sporting CP
SCP
27%
27%
46%
73 88 15 0
30 Jun. 1979
BOA
Boavista
1 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
27%
27%
47%
72 88 16 +1
17 Jun. 1979
VST
Vitória Setúbal
4 - 1
Boavista
BOA
53%
25%
22%
73 70 3 -1
10 Jun. 1979
BOA
Boavista
0 - 1
Varzim
VAR
68%
20%
12%
74 66 8 -1
03 Jun. 1979
ACA
Académica
1 - 0
Boavista
BOA
38%
27%
35%
74 60 14 0
X