Porto vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 2
FCP
20%
27%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
FCP
2 - 3
PET
68%
21%
11%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
FCP
2 - 0
BEL
69%
20%
11%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SPB
0 - 0
FCP
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
GLA
3 - 2
FCP
38%
27%
35%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 1
VIT
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
MUD
2 - 1
SLB
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
PEN
1 - 3
SLB
18%
23%
60%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SLB
4 - 0
UDL
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
LIL
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |