Porto vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 3
FCP
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
FEI
1 - 3
FCP
10%
18%
73%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
FCP
6 - 0
RIO
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1978 |
AND
3 - 0
FCP
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
FCP
3 - 0
GFC
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
VST
0 - 0
BEL
58%
23%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPB
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1978 |
BEL
0 - 0
SLB
26%
28%
46%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |