Catarinense 3 Final
Global 2-3
Porto SC vs Fluminense SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
JAR
40%
25%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FFC
3 - 1
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
FFC
25%
22%
54%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
JAR
0 - 0
POR
35%
23%
42%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
TUB
3 - 0
POR
75%
16%
10%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
FFC
3 - 1
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
JAR
1 - 2
FFC
24%
25%
52%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FFC
1 - 1
JAR
64%
21%
15%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
POR
0 - 3
FFC
25%
22%
54%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
FFC
2 - 5
POR
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |